Local News
Hurricanes, earthquakes, tornadoes - where is it safe to live?
01:31 PM CST on Friday, November 4, 2005
Hurricane victims in Florida and along the Gulf Coast have to be asking
themselves something survivors of tornadoes, blizzards and earthquakes
also wonder: Is there any place you can go that is safe from natural
disasters?
The West has earthquakes and wildfires. Move to the Midwest and you
could find yourself in Tornado Alley. The Northeast? Blizzards, ice
storms and heat waves.
Experts say trying to escape catastrophic weather is a little like
trying to escape from, well, the weather. Short of building a new
Biosphere, it is pretty near impossible to completely avoid quakes,
hurricanes, tornadoes, blizzards or heat waves.
"Unfortunately, if you drew a map of the United States, you would
find that at least one and most likely two or three of those happen
almost everywhere," says Larry Kalkstein, senior research fellow at
the University of Delaware's Center for Climatic Research. "Every place
has some sort of vulnerability." Kalkstein knows. He lives in
Marco Island, Fla., a Gulf Coast town that took a direct hit from
Hurricane Wilma last month.
Experts say Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma demonstrate that any
search for the safest real estate in America should exclude the Gulf
Coast and a good chunk of the Atlantic Coast.
The same with Tornado Alley, the area centering on northern Texas,
Oklahoma, Kansas and Nebraska. It is sometimes defined as stretching
east to the Mississippi River or beyond to Ohio.
That leaves a big chunk of the West and the Northeast, though the
geography can be pared down by knocking out fault-riddled California and
northern reaches prone to ice storms and blizzards.
Heat waves could disqualify even more areas, though not necessarily in
the South. Kalkstein notes that hot weather tends to be most deadly in
places where people are not used to them: Chicago, New York,
Philadelphia, St. Louis.
Heat waves are, on average, the most deadly weather phenomenon of the
last decade, according to the National Weather Service. A 1995 heat wave
in Chicago killed more than 700 people in four days, most of them
elderly.
William Hooke, director of policy programs for the American
Meteorological Society, says people cannot avoid weather risk, but they
can decide the "shape of the risk." For instance: Do you feel
more comfortable living in a tornado zone or a hurricane zone?
Consider the risks every person faces every day getting into a car or
walking down the street and catastrophic weather seems less of an issue.
Federal statistics show that 369 people died last year from weather
hazards, while 42,636 people were killed in traffic accidents and 1.37
million were victims of a violent crime.
Then there other manmade threats: Cities like Washington and New York
are probably pretty high on a terrorist's list of favorite places.
So, where can you go?
Kalkstein, if "pushed to the corner," would choose Santa
Barbara, Calif., since it has almost no thunderstorms, no hurricanes,
rare heat waves and no blizzards. But it does have earthquakes.
Joseph Annotti of Property Casualty Insurers Association of America
picks the Midwest. Yes, there are tornadoes, but he notes that nothing
matches the destructive power of hurricanes and earthquakes.
"Even the worst tornado is not going to come close, damage-wise, to
even a Category 2 hurricane," Annotti says.
Still, the average number of people killed by tornadoes in the past
decade is more than twice the number of hurricane deaths: 57 a year
versus 21, according to the National Weather Service. That number does
not include the more than 1,000 people who died as a result of Katrina.
Rade Musulin of the American Academy of Actuaries lists the Northwest,
the interior East Coast up the Appalachians, and Utah and Colorado as
relatively safe areas.
Another, completely unscientific way to look at safety is to compare the
U.S. Geological Survey earthquake hazard map, a Tornado Alley map,
Kalkstein's heat wave danger zone and the Federal Emergency Management
Agency's county-by-county map of declared presidential disaster
declarations from 1965 to 2003.
The area left out of the resulting crazy quilt of disasters and
potential disasters is ... pretty darn small.
One relatively safe place seems to be Blanding, Utah (population 3,500).
It is on a mesa, so there is no flooding. City Manager Chris Webb cannot
remember an earthquake or a tornado or, for that matter, any sort of
weather emergency. There is snow, but Webb says the high-desert city has
moderate temperatures year round, so it cannot even maintain an ice rink.
But he cautions: "There is drought down this way."
Associated Press
Chats, Boards & Blogs
More Local News
Most E-mailed News
Popular Stories




You must be logged in to contribute. Log in | Register Now!
You are logged in as screenname | Log Out
You are logged in, but do not have a "screen" name. Create a Screen Name