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Pleasant, but Warm Weekend; Fall Temps Next Week

Strong cold front could trigger a chance for some strong to severe storms.

NEW ORLEANS — A fairly quiet weekend with afternoon temps in the low and mid 80s. Also, more of a southerly wind, so the humidity will be on the rise a bit. Monday looks a bit warmer and more humid as winds will increase off the Gulf in advance of a strong cold front approaching the area. There is a chance for some strong to severe weather across parts of the SE as the upper trough deepens and a closed low develops at the base. This creates more instability and the higher likelihood for severe storms. The late Monday/early Tuesday timeframe is just outside of the 3-day forecast from the Storm Prediction Center, so this will be something to monitor into the weekend. Once the front is through, high temperatures Tuesday are expected to remain in the low 70s, more than 10 degrees below normal, followed by mornings in the low 50s and low 60s with the potential for some upper 40s on the Northshore and in MS. The cooler and dry air will be reinforced with another front late Thursday. No rain expected with this front. A decent stretch of Fall weather looks to wrap up September and head into October.

Eye on the Tropics:

Luckily nothing to track, no developing systems to monitor, and no development is expected for the next 5 days. In fact, most models are keeping the Atlantic quiet into early October, so through next week. However, we could become more active as October can be a busy month with most development a bit closer to home in the Caribbean, along the East coast, and the Gulf. By the first full week of October, we could see the MJO go into a more favorable phase for tropical development. Of course this say NOTHING about if something will actually develop nor where it forms, where it goes, or how strong it could be. History says around that same time the likelihood of an "evacuation-type" storm for us is very slim. So a few more weeks to go before we will begin to see the season settle for us. Stay tuned...


RELATED: Track Rain on Southeast Louisiana Radar

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Detailed Forecast:

TONIGHT:

Partly cloudy skies. Mild and pleasant. Low: S 71, N 67. Winds: NE/E 5-10.

SATURDAY:

Partly cloudy skies. Mostly dry. Warmer, little more humid. High: 85. Winds: E/S 5-10.

SUNDAY:

Partly cloudy. Mostly dry. Warm, more humid. Low: S 73, N 68. High: 86.

MONDAY:

Partly cloudy. Warmer, more humid. Becoming breezy. Storms late night. Some strong to severe. Low: S 73, N 69. High: 88.

TUESDAY:

60% Early morning storms. Some strong to severe. Then clearing. Much cooler and less humid. Breezy. Low: S 65, N 60. High: 73.

WEDNESDAY:

A Chilly Morning! Sunny and cool. Very pleasant! Low: S 61, N 51. High: 76.

THURSDAY:

A chilly morning. Mostly sunny and nice. Low: S 62, N 53. High: 78.

FRIDAY:

A chilly start, sunny and cool. Low: S 63, N 56. High: 75.

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