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Risk of severe weather low as weak cold front approaches

Front will likely stall, bringing better rain chances for Sunday

NEW ORLEANS — An upper ridge helped send highs into the low 80s for many locations today will again on Friday. A cold front approaches on late tomorrow, bringing a chance for few showers and a few storms in the late afternoon and evening with some rain and storms overnight and into Saturday.

Model guidance has been indicating a weakening of the rain and storms along the front, and we may only see a few spotty showers on the Northshore, around 40%. SPC is highlighting a low chance for severe storms as the front approaches: level 1 for the Southshore and along the MS, and a level 2 elsewhere, mainly after dark Friday. They have also increased the threat level for north-central LA and central MS to a 4. The trajectory of the upper low and thus the energy for severe weather will remain well to our north and the severe risk for us is very limited. The front may stall without moving through, and high temps Saturday may climb to about 85°! The front over the area looks to trigger some showers by Sunday off and on around 50%.

60% on Monday along the stalled front, and a stronger cold front sweeps through with showers and storms early Tuesday. Highs by Tuesday and Wednesday in the low 70s, but back near 80° Thursday.

Detailed Forecast:


Partly cloudy. Milder and more humid. Some patchy fog. Low: S 68, N 65. Winds: S 5-10.


Partly to mostly cloudy, at times. 30% spotty showers late day. Warm and humid. Breezy. High: 83. Winds: S 10-18.


30-40% spotty to scattered showers. Warm and humid. Low: S 70, N 68. High: 85.


Warm, humid. 50% scattered showers. Low: S 66, N 64. High: 82.


60% scattered showers. Warm, humid. Low: S 66, N 64. High: 78.


60% AM showers and storms. Breezy, cooler. Low: S 64, N 60. High: 72.


Mostly cloudy. 30-40% spotty showers. Mild. Breezy. Low: S 58, N 53. High: 72.


Mostly cloudy. 30% spotty showers. Warmer, breezy. More humid. Low: S 60, N 55. High: 79.

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