NEW ORLEANS — Friday morning starts out pretty quiet with a few stray showers and dense fog for Black Friday shoppers as the front lifts north as a warm front over SE Louisiana. Then the heavy rain and storms return in the afternoon and continues into tonight. Some of the storms could be strong to possibly severe with gusty winds and large hail. The Storm Prediction Center has most of SE Louisiana in a Level 1 Marginal Risk. It will be a warm and humid day with high temperatures in the upper 70s. Tonight will be cloudy with scattered showers and some downpours. Lows in the lower to mid 60s.
Weekend Outlook: It looks like we will have a very wet weekend with plenty of heavy rain. Another cold front will head toward us on Saturday with an area of low pressure. This will bring us heavy rain and a few thunderstorms. High temperatures will be cooler and only around 70. The front and low will move through on Sunday with more heavy rain and storms. Some of the storms could be strong to possibly severe. The Storm Prediction Center has put all of SE Louisiana in a Level 1 Marginal Risk. The threats would be strong winds, hail and a tornado or two. It will be mil, humid and breezy with high temperatures in the lower 70s. Rain totals this weekend could be and additional 2-4+ inches. Some minor flooding is possible thanks to all the rain we had from the previous days.
Next Week Outlook: The cold front will move through by Monday morning and we turn MUCH COLDER to start the work week. High temperatures will only in the 50s. We could even see our first freeze of the season across the Northshore and frost across the Southshore, if the winds die down, on Tuesday morning. Lows north in the upper 20s and south in the upper 30s. Tuesday will be sunny and cold as an area of high pressure sits over us. High temperatures will only be in the lower 50s. Another light freeze is expected Wednesday morning across the Northshore, but the Southshore will be in the 40s. We will be a tad warmer on Wednesday with highs in the lower 60s under a mostly sunny sky. Another cold front arrives Thursday with scattered showers. Highs will be in the lower 60s. Sunshine returns on Friday along with colder high temperatures in the 50s.
Eye on the Tropics: A non-tropical low pressure system is located several hundred miles SE of Bermuda. It is disorganized and will remain a mess over the next couple of days due to strong wind shear. Then conditions are expected to be more favorable for some subtropical development this weekend as it moves northeast across the central Atlantic. This is not a threat to land. NHC is giving this system a medium chance to develop over the next 5 days.
Another non-tropical low is expected to form over the far eastern Atlantic during the weekend. It could also gain some subtropical characteristics as it moves slowly south just west of Portugal through early next week. NHC is giving this system a low chance to develop in the next 5 days.
Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet.
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Detailed Forecast:
TODAY:
Mostly cloudy, breezy, warm and humid with a 60% chance for showers and storms. A few storms could be strong to severe with gusty winds and hail. Highs: 77. Wind SE 10-15 mph.
TONIGHT:
Mostly cloudy, patchy fog, and muggy with a 70% chance for showers. Lows north: 62 and south: 65. Wind Ne 5-10 mph.
SATURDAY:
Cloudy, breezy, cooler and humid with a 60% chance for scattered showers. Highs: 70. Wind NE 10-15 mph.
SUNDAY:
Cloudy, mild and humid with a 90% chance for heavy rain and storms. A few could be strong to severe. Lows north: 58 and south: 62. Highs: 72.
MONDAY:
Becoming sunny, breezy and much colder. Lows north: 43 and south: 47. Highs: 55.
TUESDAY:
Sunny, windy and cold. Lows north: 29 with a light freeze and south: 37 with patchy frost. Highs: 53.
WEDNESDAY:
Mostly sunny, cool and breezy. Lows north: 32 with a light freeze and south: 41. Highs: 62.
THURSDAY:
Mostly cloudy, cool and breezy with a 40% chance for scattered showers. Lows north: 43 and south: 48. Highs: 62.
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