NEW ORLEANS — A stronger Tropical Storm Humberto is north of the Bahamas and will turn eastward away from the Florida coast soon. It is forecast to become a hurricane by late Sunday or Monday as it moves out over the Atlantic toward Bermuda.

Closer to the NOLA area, an upper low south of our coastline will spread a few showers into our area this weekend. It has also sparked a disturbance in the eastern Gulf. The National Hurricane Center now gives that disturbance a 20% chance for development as it moves west across the Gulf toward the Texas coast by Monday and Tuesday. A big blocking high will keep our weather hot and mainly dry as the disturbance passes to our south, so we're not expecting any big impacts from it at this point.

We are watching one more wave in the tropical Atlantic, but it is far away and will not threaten our area anytime soon, if at all.

Tracking the Tropics: Path, Spaghetti Models

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2019 Hurricane Season Outlook

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted 10 to 17 named storms. It says five to nine of them will become hurricanes and two to four of those would become major hurricanes with 111 mph winds or higher.

2019 Atlantic Hurricane Names
TEGNA

Colorado State University, which pioneered hurricane season predictions, is forecasting 14 named storms, 7 to become hurricanes and two to hit major status.

IBM's Weather Company calls for 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three majors. Accuweather calls for 12 to 14 named storms, five to seven hurricanes and two to four major storms.

Hurricane Season Update
Dave Nussbaum

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