NEW ORLEANS — Invest 98L remains over the NW Gulf of Mexico just off the Texas Coast. It is trying to get better organized and you can see a circulation developing on radar.  It is battling some dry air, so conditions are not perfect for development.  However, there is a chance for it to develop into a weak tropical system before it moves inland into Texas tonight. This will become a significant rain-maker with flooding likely across the Texas Coast, including the Houston area the next few days. Rain totals could be around 4-8"+. New Orleans will be far enough east of it to only get a few showers and some clouds today. 

Hurricane Humberto continues to grow in size and it is expected to strengthen today. It is located over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream and far off the SE U.S. Coast. The hurricane has winds of 90 mph, but it is expected to strengthen into a Cat. 3 hurricane by Wednesday as it moves just north of Bermuda. Then it will turn NE and head out into the Atlantic as it weakens. 

Invest 97L is located out in the central Atlantic. It has a high chance to become a tropical depression or storm the next few days. It is forecast to stay out a sea and just stay north of the Lesser Antilles in the next 7 days. This is not a threat to the U.S.

Tracking the Tropics: Path, Spaghetti Models


2019 Hurricane Season Outlook

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted 10 to 17 named storms. It says five to nine of them will become hurricanes and two to four of those would become major hurricanes with 111 mph winds or higher.

2019 Atlantic Hurricane Names

Colorado State University, which pioneered hurricane season predictions, is forecasting 14 named storms, 7 to become hurricanes and two to hit major status.

IBM's Weather Company calls for 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three majors. Accuweather calls for 12 to 14 named storms, five to seven hurricanes and two to four major storms.

Hurricane Season Update
Dave Nussbaum


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