NEW ORLEANS — There are a few active areas but nothing coming at us right now.

Tropical Storm Jerry is weakening at the moment, but may still be a strong tropical storm or even hurricane when it gets close to Bermuda late Tuesday or Wednesday. 

Invest 99 outside the Caribbean Sea will get drawn to the northwest, and right now models keep it east of the US. 

One more wave about to come off of Africa has a high chance of development in five days. Its name would likely be Karen, and right now models keep it out at sea. We'll watch it and will keep you updated.

Outside of the Atlantic, another interesting spot right now is in the Eastern Pacific off Mexico's coast where there are two tropical storms. Tropical Storm Lorena near Baja California is weakening, but it will likely spread at least a couple of inches of rain to the US Southwest later this week, particularly in Arizona. South of Lorena is Tropical Storm Mario, but that one is weakening and may fizzle soon.

Tracking the Tropics: Path, Spaghetti Models


2019 Hurricane Season Outlook

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted 10 to 17 named storms. It says five to nine of them will become hurricanes and two to four of those would become major hurricanes with 111 mph winds or higher.

2019 Atlantic Hurricane Names

Colorado State University, which pioneered hurricane season predictions, is forecasting 14 named storms, 7 to become hurricanes and two to hit major status.

IBM's Weather Company calls for 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three majors. Accuweather calls for 12 to 14 named storms, five to seven hurricanes and two to four major storms.

Hurricane Season Update
Dave Nussbaum


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