NEW ORLEANS — Tropical Depression 15 is located just off the coast of Africa. It is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Nestor later today. Then weaken as it sits over the far eastern Atlantic.
The broad area of low pressure over Central America is not expected to do anything today since it is over land. However, it will emerge in the Bay of Campeche late on Wednesday. Conditions are somewhat favorable for some development later this week over the western Gulf of Mexico. This is the low that will bring us the deep tropical moisture and some rain this weekend. We will keep an eye on how this evolves over the next few days.
Lastly, there is a weak tropical wave in the central Atlantic. It is battling wind shear and only has a low chance to develop over the next few days as it moves to the west.
2019 Hurricane Season Outlook
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted 10 to 17 named storms. It says five to nine of them will become hurricanes and two to four of those would become major hurricanes with 111 mph winds or higher.
Colorado State University, which pioneered hurricane season predictions, is forecasting 14 named storms, 7 to become hurricanes and two to hit major status.
IBM's Weather Company calls for 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three majors. Accuweather calls for 12 to 14 named storms, five to seven hurricanes and two to four major storms.