NEW ORLEANS —
Eye on the Tropics
The only spot to watch is one non-tropical area off the northeast coast of the US. It has a 30% chance of of taking on some tropical characteristics this week as it meanders east over the Atlantic.
The Atlantic Basin looks like it will stay mostly quiet into November.
2021 Hurricane Season
The season was forecast to produce more storms than average, and it has indeed produced 20 named storms as of early October. The reason for this was the lack of El Nino, which typically features more wind shear. We also had warmer than average sea temperatures and an active West African Monsoon.
If we exceed the 21 names on the list, we will progress to a new set of supplemental names provided by the World Meteorological Organization. They said the Greek alphabet will not be used because it "creates a distraction from the communication of hazard and storm warnings and is potentially confusing."
There have been only two years that used an extra set of names, and that was in 2005 and 2020.