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Warm and Muggy Appears to be the Trend All Week

Rain chances increase Thursday and Friday

NEW ORLEANS — Our mild to warm weather pattern looks as though it may continue for a while longer. Starting with the rest of this week, afternoon highs will climb into the mid 80s, not record territory, but above the normal high of 79°. Morning lows have been and will continue to be in the 60s and low 70s. And winds dew points abut the same, expect late night and morning fog. A surge of tropical moisture from a wave trying to work westward toward the Yucatan coupled with a weak cold front will increase rain chances Thursday but more so Friday. This isn't a bad thing as we ended September with a rain deficit of 3.19" and so far October has seen a deficit of nearly 1.50". Though the front may move through, we're not expected any cooler or less humid air with it. Models are split as to whether or not a stronger cold front will move through early next week with the GFS saying "yes" and the Euro "no." The last time we had a split in the models, the Euro ended up being correct, so I'll go with that trend for now and keep temperatures and humidity a bit on the higher side as we begin next week. But we'll see.

Eye on Tropics:

Epsilon will remain in the Atlantic as it slowly moves toward Bermuda, likely remaining east of the island and eventually getting picked up and sent off into the North Atlantic, never affecting land. The tropical wave we've been mentioning since last week now has a 0% chance for development in the next 2 days and 10% in 3 to 5 days. This will send moisture our way, increasing rain chances for Friday. The GFS has the system attempting to develop in the Bay of Campeche next week, whereas the Euro does not. Really getting too late in the season for any real tropical threats for us.

Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics will stay quiet for the next 5 days.

RELATED: Track Rain on Southeast Louisiana Radar

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Detailed Forecast:

TONIGHT:

Clear to partly cloudy. Mild and muggy. Patchy fog late. Low: S 70, N 65. Winds: E 5-10.

WEDNESDAY:

Sun to partly cloudy skies. Warm and humid. Mostly dry. High: 85. Winds: E 6-12.

THURSDAY:

Partly cloudy. 30% spotty showers. Breezy. Warm and humid. Low: S 70, N 65. High: 85.

FRIDAY:

Mostly cloudy. 60% scattered showers and some storms. Warm, humid. Low: S 71, N 66. High: 83.

SATURDAY:

Partly cloudy. 20% early shower. Low: S 71, N 67. High: 83.

SUNDAY:

Sun to partly cloudy. Warm, humid. Mostly dry. Low: S 70, N 67. High: 85.

MONDAY:

Partly to mostly cloudy. 30% spotty showers. Breezy. Low: S 70, N 66. High: 86.

TUESDAY:

Partly to mostly cloudy. 30% spotty showers. Breezy. Low: S 71, N 67. High: 83.

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